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Affirm Shares Drop 13% Following Soft Q4 Revenue Guidance

The buy-now-pay-later company posted a surprise Q3 profit and strong GMV growth, but cautious Q4 revenue projections unsettled investors.

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Overview

  • Affirm reported Q3 FY2025 revenue of $783 million and earnings per share of $0.01, swinging to a profit from a year-ago loss.
  • Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) rose 36% year-over-year to $8.6 billion, surpassing forecasts and reflecting robust transaction growth.
  • The company issued Q4 revenue guidance of $815 million to $845 million, with the midpoint below consensus estimates, while GMV guidance exceeded expectations.
  • Shares tumbled 13% in regular trading and 7% in extended hours, reflecting investor concerns over the softer revenue outlook.
  • Despite the sell-off, Affirm shares remain up 35% year-to-date, trading at 5.3 times trailing revenue, below its two-year average valuation.