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Bank of Canada Surveys Show Easing Inflation, Persistent Economic Concerns

While inflation expectations have moderated, Canadian businesses and consumers remain cautious about spending and growth prospects.

  • Consumer sentiment has slightly improved due to lower inflation and interest rate cuts, but remains cautious with spending on essentials prioritized over discretionary items.
  • More than half of consumers still anticipate a recession in the coming year, despite a slight decline in pessimism about personal finances.
  • Businesses report weak demand and continue to delay investments, although inflation expectations have eased, aligning closer to the Bank of Canada's targets.
  • The labour market showed unexpected strength with a decline in unemployment and 47,000 jobs added in September, complicating the central bank's upcoming rate decision.
  • The Bank of Canada is expected to make a rate cut decision on October 23, with markets divided between a 25 or 50 basis point reduction, contingent on upcoming inflation data.
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