Canadian Liberals Narrowly Overtake Conservatives in Polls Ahead of Potential Election

Leadership changes, U.S. trade threats, and shifting voter priorities drive a dramatic turnaround for the Liberal Party.

The Liberals have surged to 38% support in recent Ipsos polling, narrowly ahead of the Conservatives at 36%, reversing a 26-point deficit from six weeks ago.
Justin Trudeau's resignation as prime minister and the upcoming Liberal leadership race on March 9 have reinvigorated the party's appeal to voters.
Economic instability, driven by U.S. President Donald Trump's proposed tariffs on Canadian exports, has shifted voter focus from domestic issues to international challenges.
The Liberal resurgence is most pronounced in Ontario, Quebec, and Atlantic Canada, while the Conservatives maintain strong support in the Prairies and Alberta.
A no-confidence vote by opposition parties on March 24 could force an early election, with polls indicating a tight race and no clear path to a majority government.