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China Expected to See $65 Billion Capital Outflow in 2024

Rising tensions and concerns over the country's economy drive investors away, despite expected stabilization in the housing sector.

  • Foreign investors are expected to pull $65 billion in capital out of China in 2024 due to rising tensions and concerns over the country's economy, according to a report from the Institute of International Finance.
  • China's economy has continued to lack consistent signs of sustained growth since the COVID-19 pandemic, with poor results in the country’s purchasing managers indexes for November in both the manufacturing and service sectors.
  • The country is also plagued by a debt-laden real estate sector that could see even more developers default in the next year, with companies responsible for 40% of Chinese homes having already defaulted since 2021.
  • Despite concerns over China’s economy and real estate woes, the IIF sees the housing sector stabilizing in 2024, ending the two-year housing recession, with exports contributing positively to next year’s economic growth.
  • Investors are also concerned about tensions related to the ongoing trade war between the U.S. and China, with both countries vying for a competitive edge in the production of semiconductors used for militaristic and consumer aspects and technical research.
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