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China Grapples with Persistent Deflation as US Tariff Talks Begin

Consumer and producer prices in China continue to decline, while Beijing negotiates tariff relief and implements monetary easing to stabilize its economy.

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Customers shop for gloves at the Wankelai store in Beijing, China February 27, 2025. REUTERS/Tingshu Wang/File Photo
People visit a shop along a busy street in Beijing
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Overview

  • China's consumer price index (CPI) fell 0.1% year-on-year in April, marking the third consecutive monthly decline, with producer prices dropping 2.7% during the same period.
  • The ongoing deflationary pressures are attributed to weak domestic demand, challenges in the property sector, and global commodity price declines.
  • US tariffs on Chinese imports have reached cumulative rates of up to 245%, with President Trump suggesting potential cuts to 80% as economic talks between the two nations begin in Switzerland.
  • China has rerouted exports to Southeast Asia, leading to double-digit growth in trade with countries like Thailand, Indonesia, and Vietnam, despite a sharp drop in shipments to the US.
  • Chinese policymakers have introduced monetary easing measures, including interest rate cuts and reduced bank reserve requirements, to boost lending and counteract economic headwinds.