Overview

• Andrew Cuomo leads the Democratic primary with 37% first-choice support, according to a Marist poll conducted May 1–8.
• Zohran Mamdani, polling second at 18%, dominates among voters under 45 with 38% support and among very liberal Democrats.
• Ranked-choice simulations show Cuomo crossing the 50% threshold in the fifth round, solidifying his path to victory.
• Other candidates, including Adrienne Adams (9%) and Brad Lander (8%), trail far behind, with 17% of voters still undecided.
• Cuomo’s campaign faces scrutiny over past controversies and campaign finance issues, but his broad name recognition and older voter support bolster his frontrunner status.