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Debt Ceiling Deadline Looms as U.S. Risks Default by Mid-July

Congress faces mounting pressure to act as Republicans propose a $4 trillion tax cut tied to the borrowing limit, while Democrats weigh their response.

  • The Bipartisan Policy Center projects the U.S. could default on its debt between mid-July and early October 2025 without congressional action.
  • The Treasury Department is using extraordinary measures to delay default, but these measures are expected to run out by October at the latest.
  • Republicans are pushing a $4 trillion debt ceiling increase tied to extending Trump-era tax cuts, which could add trillions to the deficit over the next decade.
  • Democrats are divided on whether to negotiate or use the crisis to block tax cuts for the wealthy, with some advocating for leveraging their position for concessions.
  • Failure to address the debt ceiling could lead to severe economic consequences, including market volatility, higher borrowing costs, and diminished confidence in U.S. fiscal stability.
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