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Developing Nations Face Record $35 Billion in China Debt Repayments in 2025

Driven by mid-2010s Belt and Road loans, 2025 repayments risk slashing public service budgets.

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Part of the rail line linking China to Laos, a key part of Beijing's 'Belt and Road' project across the Mekong
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Overview

  • Developing nations must make $35 billion in debt repayments to China in 2025, including $22 billion from the 75 poorest countries.
  • Repayments now exceed new loan disbursements, marking China’s shift from net lender to net collector of developing-country debt.
  • In 54 developing countries, payments to China will surpass combined obligations to the Paris Club of Western bilateral lenders.
  • High debt servicing costs risk diverting funds from health, education and climate initiatives in vulnerable economies.
  • Fresh Chinese loans to Honduras and the Solomon Islands followed those countries’ diplomatic switch from Taiwan, raising concerns over debt-trap diplomacy.