Economists Warn of Rising Recession Risks Linked to Trump's Trade Policies
Experts cite tariff uncertainty, declining consumer confidence, and stock market volatility as key factors increasing the likelihood of a U.S. recession in 2025.
- Economists highlight the unpredictable nature of Trump's tariff policies as a major factor eroding business and consumer confidence, making long-term planning difficult for companies.
- Key recession indicators, such as an inverted yield curve, rising unemployment claims, and weakening consumer sentiment, are being closely monitored, though a recession has not yet been officially declared.
- The latest Consumer Sentiment Index fell sharply by 10.5% in March, reflecting widespread economic uncertainty across demographic and geographic groups.
- Experts predict that if a recession occurs, it may involve persistent inflation, slower consumption growth, and a modest rise in unemployment, rather than resembling past downturns like 2008 or 2020.
- Financial advisors recommend individuals prepare for potential economic challenges by reducing expenses, avoiding new debt, and diversifying investments into safer assets like bonds and precious metals.