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Ethereum Price Target Slashed to $4,000 as Layer-2 Networks Erode Market Cap

Standard Chartered cites Coinbase's Base blockchain and Ethereum's structural changes as drivers of a $50 billion market cap reduction.

  • Standard Chartered has revised its 2025 Ethereum price target from $10,000 to $4,000, citing a continued 'structural decline.'
  • The rise of Layer-2 blockchains like Coinbase's Base has redirected significant fee revenue away from Ethereum's main network, reducing its market cap by an estimated $50 billion.
  • Base alone retains approximately 80% of its fee revenue, benefiting Coinbase while contributing minimally to Ethereum's ecosystem.
  • The Ethereum Foundation is unlikely to impose taxes or other measures on Layer-2 networks, which analysts suggest could mitigate Ethereum's declining dominance.
  • Despite the challenges, Ethereum's upcoming Pectra upgrade, expected in late April, aims to improve staking and allow gas fees to be paid in cryptocurrencies other than ETH.
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