Federal Reserve Expected to Hold Rates Steady as Economic Projections Awaited
Chair Jerome Powell likely to adopt a cautious tone as the Fed balances inflation risks from tariffs with market expectations for rate cuts.
- The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its March meeting, maintaining its 'not-in-a-hurry' stance on rate cuts.
- Updated economic projections will be released, including forecasts for growth, inflation, employment, and interest rates, which may highlight inflationary pressures from new trade tariffs.
- Analysts predict inflation forecasts could rise, with core PCE inflation potentially reaching 2.8% in 2025, while growth projections may be revised downward.
- Market expectations for rate cuts later in the year diverge from the Fed's December 2024 projections, which indicated only two 25-basis-point cuts in 2025.
- Chair Jerome Powell is expected to communicate cautiously to avoid market turbulence and political friction, emphasizing the Fed's dual mandate of stable inflation and employment.