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Federal Reserve Nears Inflation Control Without Recession

Inflation falls below 2% target, with rate cuts projected for next year despite housing shortage concerns.

  • Inflation has been falling steadily since peaking in June of last year at 9.1%, with the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge for November likely to show that annual inflation has dipped just below the Fed's target of 2%.
  • The cost of goods such as used cars, furniture, and appliances has fallen for six straight months, with prices unchanged compared to a year ago due to improved global supply chains.
  • Housing and rental costs, a major driver of inflation, are growing more slowly, and wage growth has cooled, though it still tops inflation.
  • The Federal Reserve has discussed the prospects for rate cuts, with projections indicating that the Fed will cut its key interest rate three times next year.
  • Despite the decline in inflation, there are concerns that a shortage of available homes could raise housing costs in the coming years, potentially keeping inflation elevated.
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