Florida Special Elections Test GOP's House Majority and Trump's Influence

As Republicans face tight races in Florida's 6th District, early voting data shows a lead, but concerns grow over fundraising disparities and candidate performance.

Florida's 6th and 1st Congressional Districts are holding special elections to replace Republican Representatives Mike Waltz and Matt Gaetz, with results critical for the GOP's slim House majority.
The 6th District race has tightened unexpectedly, with Democrat Josh Weil outraising Republican Randy Fine by a 10-to-1 margin, raising concerns among GOP leaders about Fine's campaign performance.
Republicans lead in early voting turnout by 9 points in the 6th District and 19 points in the 1st District, but polling shows a closer-than-expected race in the traditionally red 6th District.
President Trump has actively campaigned for both Republican candidates, emphasizing the importance of these elections for advancing his legislative agenda and maintaining GOP control in the House.
Democrats are leveraging strong grassroots fundraising and opposition to Elon Musk's proposed federal budget cuts to challenge Republican dominance, viewing the elections as a chance to test messaging ahead of the 2026 midterms.