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German Economy Surprises with 0.4% Growth in Q1 2025

Revised data highlights stronger manufacturing, export gains, and increased consumer spending, but challenges from US tariffs and stagnation forecasts persist.

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Sonnenuntergang hinter den Verladekränen des Burchardtkai, Hamburger Hafen.

Overview

  • Germany's Q1 GDP growth was revised upward to 0.4%, doubling the initial estimate of 0.2%, driven by a strong March performance.
  • Manufacturing output and a 3.2% rise in exports, especially in automobiles and pharmaceuticals, were key contributors to the growth.
  • Private consumption increased by 0.5% in Q1, supported by easing inflation and higher real wages.
  • The Bundesbank warns of potential stagnation in Q2 due to ongoing US tariff pressures affecting exports.
  • The federal government plans to introduce a relief package by mid-July, including an electricity tax cut and labor market reforms, to bolster economic resilience.