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German Machinery Sector Faces Third Consecutive Year of Decline

The VDMA predicts an 8% production drop for 2024, citing global uncertainties, domestic challenges, and rising competition from China.

  • The German machinery and plant engineering sector, employing over one million people, expects an 8% production decline in 2024, following a 2% drop in 2023, with a further 2% decline predicted for 2025.
  • VDMA President Bertram Kawlath attributes the downturn to global instability, geopolitical tensions, and domestic issues such as high costs, bureaucracy, and rigid labor policies.
  • Despite challenges, nearly 72% of VDMA companies plan to expand their operations in the U.S., driven by opportunities in reindustrialization and demand for specialized European machinery.
  • The sector faces increasing competition from subsidized Chinese firms and anticipates a tougher global market as China pushes for dominance by 2049.
  • Concerns over a potential slight reduction in jobs persist, though companies aim to retain core staff and address a growing skills gap through reforms and increased labor market flexibility.
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