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German Retail Sector Faces Sluggish Growth Amid Economic Uncertainty

The Handelsverband Deutschland revises 2024 retail growth forecast downward due to low consumer confidence and economic challenges.

  • The Handelsverband Deutschland (HDE) has reduced its 2024 retail growth forecast from 3.5% to 1.3%, citing economic instability and consumer caution.
  • Inflation-adjusted figures indicate no real growth, with the retail sector struggling to maintain momentum despite initial optimism.
  • Psychological factors, such as geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties, are contributing to reduced consumer spending.
  • The upcoming Christmas season is expected to see stable but unimpressive sales, with an average planned spend of 297 euros per person on gifts.
  • Retailers in sectors like electronics and toys remain hopeful, while those in household goods and clothing anticipate further declines.
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