Overview

• Donald Trump's administration signals a reduced U.S. commitment to European security, urging NATO allies to increase their defense spending to 5% of GDP.
• Trump's foreign policy emphasizes countering China in the Indo-Pacific, proposing a European focus on conventional defense while the U.S. prioritizes Asia.
• German political leaders, particularly Friedrich Merz of the CDU, explore strategies to maintain transatlantic ties, including potential economic and defense deals with the U.S.
• European leaders face mounting pressure to bolster EU military and economic independence as the U.S. shifts its global focus and engages with Russia on strategic matters.
• Upcoming German elections and coalition dynamics will significantly influence the country's approach to navigating these geopolitical challenges.