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Global Oil Demand to Drop Sharply and Peak This Decade, According to IEA Projections

  • The IEA forecasts global oil demand will increase slightly to 2028, then drop significantly as countries adopt cleaner energy sources.
  • Demand for gasoline and fossil fuels will peak in 2028, while demand for aviation fuel will drive most remaining growth.
  • Oil demand growth is projected to fall by half in 2024 and peak in 2028 due to the shift to renewable energy, especially in the US.
  • New US vehicle emission standards and rise of electric cars will determine when oil demand peaks.
  • Lower gas prices in the US reflect easing inflation and dropping oil demand.
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