Harvard Poll: Young Voter Turnout May Decline in 2024, Biden's Lead Narrows with Independents

Despite decreased enthusiasm, Biden still leads Trump among young voters, but independent candidates could significantly impact the race.

According to a new Harvard poll, fewer young voters plan to vote in the 2024 election compared to the 2020 election, with the largest declines seen among Republicans and independents.
Despite a decrease in enthusiasm, President Biden still holds a lead over former President Trump among young voters, but this lead narrows significantly when potential independent candidates are factored in.
Young voters who support Biden are primarily motivated by opposition to Trump rather than support for Biden and his policies.
Declines in voting intention were more pronounced among young Black and Hispanic Americans, groups that were key to Biden's success in 2020.
Independent candidates, such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Joe Manchin, and Cornel West, could potentially draw votes away from Biden.