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India Launches 6 km-Resolution Bharat Forecasting System to Enhance Monsoon Forecasts

The Arka-powered system from the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology delivers 6 km-resolution, village-level forecasts for the current monsoon season.

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Overview

  • The Bharat Forecasting System (BFS) is India’s first indigenous weather model operating on a 6 km grid, surpassing global models at 9–14 km resolution.
  • Developed by IITM Pune and handed over to the IMD, BFS runs on the Arka supercomputer (11.77 petaflops, 33 PB storage), cutting runtimes from 10 hours to four.
  • Experimental trials since 2022 demonstrated a 30% improvement in extreme rainfall forecasts and a 64% enhancement for core monsoon predictions.
  • BFS ingests data from 40 Doppler weather radars—set to expand to 100—to produce precise nowcasts and separate forecasts down to the panchayat level.
  • The high-resolution model will support disaster management, agriculture, aviation, defence and flood forecasting with more accurate, localized weather warnings.