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India Reports 9.3% Excess Mortality for 2020-21, Lower Than Many Global Peers

Official Civil Registration System data reveals 1.55 million excess deaths, challenging earlier model-based estimates of 41–47 lakh.

Overview

  • India's Civil Registration System (CRS) data confirms 1,554,334 excess deaths in 2020-21, a 9.3% rise over expected mortality.
  • This figure is significantly lower than model-based estimates by WHO and other studies, which projected 41–47 lakh excess deaths.
  • Excess deaths include reported and unreported COVID-19 deaths, deaths from other causes, and indirect pandemic effects, with improved registration processes contributing to higher counts.
  • India's excess mortality rate is lower than many high- and middle-income countries, including the US (17.6%), Italy (11.8%), and Mexico (43.6%).
  • The government attributes its lower mortality rate to a robust pandemic response, including administering over 220 crore vaccine doses, saving an estimated 34 lakh lives in 2021 alone.