Overview
- India’s Russian crude imports are expected to reach 1.8 million barrels per day in May, the highest level since July 2024, according to ship tracking data from Kpler.
- The surge is fueled by increased purchases of ESPO Blend, a lighter grade exported from Russia’s Far East port of Kozmino, as Indian refiners respond to favorable margins and market conditions.
- Indian refiners have pre-booked over 10 cargoes of June-loading ESPO crude, with demand likely to remain strong into July.
- Reduced Chinese buying, driven by state-owned refiners avoiding sanctioned crudes and tight import quotas for independents, has redirected more ESPO volumes to India.
- Refinery maintenance at Reliance Industries and MRPL has increased feedstock needs, with some ESPO deliveries linked to a long-term supply deal with Rosneft.