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Inflation Slows Nationally, But Trade Policies Raise Concerns

The February Consumer Price Index shows progress on inflation, but new tariffs and economic uncertainty could complicate Federal Reserve rate decisions.

  • The U.S. Consumer Price Index rose 2.8% annually in February, marking a slowdown from January's 3% increase and the smallest rise in four months.
  • Core inflation, excluding food and energy, dipped to 3.1%, its lowest level since April 2021, signaling progress in underlying price pressures.
  • New tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, including increased duties on Chinese, Canadian, and Mexican imports, are expected to drive future inflation and economic uncertainty.
  • The Federal Reserve is widely expected to maintain its current interest rate range of 4.25%-4.50% at its March meeting, with potential rate cuts predicted later in the year depending on inflation and labor market conditions.
  • Regional disparities persist, as New England saw a 4.5% annual inflation rate in February, the highest in two years, driven by rising costs for shelter, food, and prescription drugs.
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