Inflation Slows Nationally, But Trade Policies Raise Concerns
The February Consumer Price Index shows progress on inflation, but new tariffs and economic uncertainty could complicate Federal Reserve rate decisions.
- The U.S. Consumer Price Index rose 2.8% annually in February, marking a slowdown from January's 3% increase and the smallest rise in four months.
- Core inflation, excluding food and energy, dipped to 3.1%, its lowest level since April 2021, signaling progress in underlying price pressures.
- New tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, including increased duties on Chinese, Canadian, and Mexican imports, are expected to drive future inflation and economic uncertainty.
- The Federal Reserve is widely expected to maintain its current interest rate range of 4.25%-4.50% at its March meeting, with potential rate cuts predicted later in the year depending on inflation and labor market conditions.
- Regional disparities persist, as New England saw a 4.5% annual inflation rate in February, the highest in two years, driven by rising costs for shelter, food, and prescription drugs.