Overview
- Japan's GDP shrank 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2025, translating to a 0.7% annualized contraction, exceeding economists' expectations of a smaller decline.
- Net exports reduced GDP growth by 0.8 percentage points, highlighting the impact of U.S. tariffs and global trade uncertainties on Japan's export-heavy economy.
- Private consumption, accounting for over half of Japan's economic output, was flat during the quarter, failing to meet forecasts of modest growth.
- Capital expenditure rose 1.4%, surpassing market expectations, but was insufficient to offset broader economic challenges.
- The Bank of Japan maintained its policy rate at 0.5% earlier this month, citing inflation at 3.6% and ongoing risks from global demand shocks and trade tensions.