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Ken Paxton Leads John Cornyn by 16 Points in Texas GOP Senate Primary Poll

Internal poll from Senate Leadership Fund underscores a growing divide between establishment Republicans and Trump-aligned conservatives in Texas.

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Overview

  • An internal poll conducted by the Senate Leadership Fund shows Attorney General Ken Paxton leading Senator John Cornyn 50% to 34% in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary, with 17% undecided.
  • In a hypothetical three-way primary with Rep. Wesley Hunt, Paxton still leads with 44%, followed by Cornyn at 34% and Hunt at 19%.
  • The poll highlights a broader split within the Texas GOP between establishment figures like Cornyn and hardline conservatives aligned with former President Trump.
  • Cornyn, Texas’s senior senator since 2002, has faced backlash from the GOP base for his work on bipartisan gun safety legislation and support for Ukraine aid.
  • Paxton’s campaign has been bolstered by his acquittal on impeachment charges in 2023, while Cornyn’s team argues his record aligns closely with Trump’s policies.