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Lee Maintains Over 10-Point Lead as Early Voting Nears

Candidates concentrate campaign efforts on eastern Seoul wards alongside conservative southeastern provinces during final days before polling blackout.

This composite photo shows People Power Party candidate Kim Moon-soo (L) and New Reform Party candidate Lee Jun-seok at a televised debate held in Seoul on May 27, 2025. (Pool photo) (Yonhap)
A file photo of former Prime Minister Han Duck-soo (Yonhap)
Lee Jae-myung, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party, gestures during an election campaign event in Suwon, Gyeonggi province on May 26, 2025. (Photo by Pedro Pardo / AFP) (Photo by PEDRO PARDO/AFP via Getty Images)
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Overview

  • The Realmeter survey recorded Lee at 49.2 percent and Kim at 36.8 percent with a 3.1-percentage-point margin of error at a 95 percent confidence level, marking a 12.4-point advantage for Lee.
  • Lee Jun-seok of the New Reform Party holds third place with 10.3 percent support after snubbing Kim’s appeal to merge candidacies.
  • Under election law, the publication of opinion polls is banned from May 28, making the Realmeter survey the final public gauge before voting begins.
  • The June 3 presidential election is a snap vote called after the impeachment of former President Yoon Suk Yeol over a failed martial law declaration.
  • In the campaign’s final days, Lee is staging rallies in eastern Seoul’s Gwangjin and Seongdong wards while Kim returns to conservative bastions in North and South Gyeongsang provinces and the cities of Busan and Daegu.