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NASA and Toho University Study Predicts Earth's Oxygen Depletion in One Billion Years

The research highlights solar-driven changes disrupting Earth's carbon cycle, leading to a gradual atmospheric transformation that will end complex life.

Ecological disaster of fires in the Amazon, South America
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How is the loss of life going to happen on the Earth?

Overview

  • A collaborative study by NASA and Toho University confirms Earth's oxygen-rich atmosphere will last only about one billion more years before deoxygenation begins.
  • Increased solar luminosity will disrupt the carbon cycle and hinder photosynthesis, leading to a steep decline in oxygen levels over time.
  • Post-deoxygenation, Earth's atmosphere will resemble its ancient state, with high methane, low carbon dioxide, and no ozone layer, making it inhospitable to complex life.
  • Only anaerobic microbes, which do not rely on oxygen, are expected to survive after oxygen levels fall below viable thresholds.
  • The study challenges the use of oxygen as a definitive biosignature for life on exoplanets, urging researchers to consider alternative markers.