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New Analysis Shifts Blame for Valencia Flood to Smaller Ravines

Researchers confirm Horteta and Gallego ravines triggered the October 2024 flood, challenging earlier focus on the Poyo headwaters.

El catedrático de Geografía Física de la Universitat de València, Alejandro Pérez Cueva.
Vista general del Barranco del Poyo lleno de escombros y lodos tras la dana, a su paso por la localidad valenciana de Catarroja

Overview

  • A joint study by Universitat de València, Avamet, and Aemet identifies the Horteta and Gallego ravines as the primary drivers of the October 2024 flood, not the Poyo headwaters.
  • Three-quarters of the 771.8 l/m² rainfall fell in just four hours, with intense precipitation starting in the Horteta and Gallego basins at least an hour before the Poyo headwaters.
  • The perpendicular alignment of the A-3 motorway acted as a barrier, diverting and delaying portions of the Poyo floodwaters into adjacent ravines, complicating real-time detection.
  • Researchers propose using high-resolution hydraulic modeling to reconstruct the flood and quantify individual ravine contributions for improved future flood management.
  • The findings highlight critical gaps in gauge placement and monitoring infrastructure, which obscured upstream flows and delayed accurate attribution of flood dynamics.