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NOAA Predicts Above-Average 2025 Hurricane Season with 13–19 Named Storms

The official forecast warns of heightened activity fueled by warm Atlantic waters and potential late-season La Niña conditions.

Hurricane Helene closes in on the Florida coast in this NOAA satellite image from Sept. 26, 2024. Helene was the continental United States’ deadliest single storm since Hurricane Katrina in 2005.
Image
A car drives by a flooded street ahead of the expected arrival of Hurricane Nicole, in Daytona Beach, Florida, U.S., November 9, 2022. REUTERS/Marco Bello/File Photo
A satellite image of Hurricane Don at 6:20 PM EDT on July 22, 2023 in the Atlantic. Don was the first hurricane of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season.

Overview

  • NOAA's 2025 hurricane season forecast projects 13–19 named storms, including 6–10 hurricanes and 3–5 major hurricanes.
  • AccuWeather's updated outlook aligns closely, predicting 13–18 named storms, 7–10 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.
  • Record-high Atlantic sea-surface temperatures are expected to drive storm formation and rapid intensification this season.
  • Forecasters are monitoring the potential development of La Niña later in the season, which could increase tropical activity in the fall.
  • Experts urge coastal communities to prepare now, as 3–6 storms are anticipated to make U.S. landfall, similar to the destructive 2024 season.