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4h ago

NOAA Predicts Active 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season with Up to 19 Named Storms

Forecast calls for 13–19 named storms, including 6–10 hurricanes and 3–5 major hurricanes, driven by warm seas and ENSO-neutral conditions.

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Hurricane Helene closes in on the Florida coast in this NOAA satellite image from Sept. 26, 2024. Helene was the continental United States’ deadliest single storm since Hurricane Katrina in 2005.

Overview

  • NOAA's 2025 forecast predicts a 60% chance of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season, with 13–19 named storms, 6–10 hurricanes, and 3–5 major hurricanes.
  • Key drivers include above-average sea surface temperatures, low wind shear, and an active West African monsoon supporting storm development.
  • Officials emphasize preparation, noting rapid intensification risks and the potential for significant impacts even from smaller storms.
  • Independent forecasts from Colorado State University and AccuWeather align with NOAA's projections, indicating an active season ahead.
  • NOAA asserts its forecasting capabilities remain robust despite staffing challenges, highlighting advances in storm intensity and track prediction models.