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Nvidia Q1 Earnings Expected to Set Records as Analysts Eye China Export Ban Fallout

Wall Street forecasts $43.38 billion in revenue, but U.S. restrictions on H20 chip sales could cut Q2 revenue by up to $5 billion.

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Overview

  • Nvidia is projected to report $43.38 billion in Q1 revenue, a 66% year-over-year increase, with EPS estimated at $0.87.
  • The U.S. ban on H20 chip exports to China has already resulted in a $5.5 billion inventory write-off and could significantly impact Q2 sales.
  • Analysts warn Q2 revenue may fall to $41 billion, well below pre-ban expectations of $48 billion, due to the China restrictions.
  • CEO Jensen Huang criticized the export curbs as a policy misstep, suggesting they are accelerating China's development of domestic AI chips.
  • Despite headwinds, analysts remain bullish on Nvidia, citing strong AI infrastructure demand and maintaining price targets of $160–$175.