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Oil Prices Fluctuate as Middle East Tensions and U.S. Inventory Build Clash

Geopolitical risks from potential Israeli action on Iran's nuclear sites counter rising U.S. stockpiles and increased global oil production.

A pump jack operates near a crude oil reserve in the Permian Basin oil field near Midland, Texas, U.S. February 18, 2025.  REUTERS/Eli Hartman/File Photo
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Overview

  • Oil prices saw initial gains of over 1% on Wednesday, driven by concerns over potential Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities and the risk of regional supply disruptions.
  • U.S. intelligence reports indicate Israel may be preparing for a strike, though no final decision has been confirmed, adding uncertainty to global markets.
  • U.S. crude and fuel inventories unexpectedly rose for the fourth consecutive week, reflecting weaker demand and tempering price increases.
  • OPEC+ production increases for May and June, coupled with a 2% production rise in Kazakhstan, are injecting additional supply into the market.
  • Markets are closely watching the upcoming May 23 nuclear talks between the U.S. and Iran in Rome, which could influence sanctions and Iranian oil exports.