Philippines and China Escalate Tensions in South China Sea

Recent confrontations between Philippine and Chinese vessels raise the risk of armed conflict, despite efforts to maintain peace.

Recent incidents in the South China Sea, including collisions and the use of water cannons by Chinese coastguard vessels against Philippine boats, have heightened tensions between China and the Philippines.
Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. warns that the risk of armed conflict is significantly higher, urging for direct communication with China to prevent escalation.
China insists on defending its rights in the disputed waters, accusing the Philippines of provocations and urging other countries not to interfere.
The US reaffirms its defense commitment to the Philippines, while Manila seeks to avoid invoking the US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty over recent incidents.
Analysts suggest China aims to play the long game, gradually wearing out Manila's resolve, as both sides refuse to back down in the strategic dispute.