Polls Underestimate Trump Again in 2024 Election

Despite predictions favoring Harris, Trump secures victory, prompting scrutiny of polling accuracy.

Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election, defeating Kamala Harris by a national margin of 2 percentage points.
Polls had shown Harris leading by 1 percentage point, marking a consistent underestimation of Trump's support in recent elections.
Experts suggest difficulties in reaching Trump supporters may contribute to polling inaccuracies.
Trump's victory was narrow, with crucial wins in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan by a small margin of votes.
Polling challenges are exacerbated by declining response rates and difficulties in predicting turnout of sporadic voters.