Overview

• Reform UK achieved significant local election victories on May 1, winning 10 councils and overtaking the Conservatives in several areas.
• Recent Ipsos polling places Nigel Farage as the most likely next prime minister, with Reform UK now seen as the primary opposition party.
• Boris Johnson has left the door open for a potential political comeback, with allies suggesting he could return if Reform UK's momentum falters.
• Jacob Rees-Mogg is reportedly considering defecting to Reform UK, which could secure his return to Parliament with a commanding majority.
• The Liberal Democrats have launched a 'Reform Watch' initiative to scrutinize and publicly challenge Reform UK's governance policies.