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Rice University Models Assign 40% Chance to Planet Nine’s Existence

The Vera C. Rubin Observatory is set to use its deep-sky camera to confirm or rule out the distant Neptune-sized world.

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Does our solar system have a mysterious ninth planet? The discovery of a new dwarf world suggests not
(Tomruen/CC BY-SA 4.0)

Overview

  • Rice University researchers ran thousands of simulations of early solar system dynamics and star cluster interactions and found up to a 40% chance of capturing a Neptune-sized planet in a distant orbit.
  • The models show wide-orbit planets can emerge naturally from chaotic gravitational encounters among gas giants and stabilizing kicks from neighboring stars.
  • Most scattered planets fail to remain bound and instead become rogue worlds drifting through interstellar space, linking distant orbiters and free-floating planets.
  • A hypothetical Planet Nine would weigh five to ten times Earth’s mass and orbit hundreds to thousands of astronomical units from the Sun, potentially explaining clustered paths of Kuiper Belt objects.
  • The Vera C. Rubin Observatory, featuring the largest digital camera ever built, will begin deep-sky surveys soon to directly detect or exclude the proposed planet.