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Scotland Risks Missing 2045 Net Zero Target Without Urgent Climate Action

The Climate Change Committee warns that policy rollbacks and insufficient investment jeopardize Scotland’s decarbonisation goals, urging immediate adoption of binding carbon budgets.

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To meet the targets the Climate Change Committee said that the 3 per cent of fully electric cars and vans on Scottish roads must increase to 60 per cent within ten years

Overview

  • The Climate Change Committee (CCC) has proposed binding five-year carbon budgets to replace missed annual emissions targets, with reductions of 57% by 2030 and 94% by 2045 compared to 1990 levels.
  • Scotland’s government has abandoned key climate policies, including mandates for low-carbon heating, car-use reductions, and wood-burning stove bans, citing economic concerns.
  • Achieving net zero by 2045 requires over £13 billion in investment by 2029, rapid heat pump installations reaching 35,000 annually by 2030, and converting 60% of vehicles to electric within the same timeframe.
  • Internal government projections indicate Scotland is on track to miss its 2045 target by 20 million tonnes of CO2 without dramatic policy interventions.
  • The CCC has advised against allowing a new gas-fired power station at Peterhead unless equipped with carbon capture technology, a capability not yet funded by the UK government.