Strong El Niño expected through winter 2023-2024 with varying global impacts

El Niño conditions have over a 90% chance of persisting through winter 2023-2024 and peaking at moderate to strong intensity.
Different regions will see different effects, including potential flooding in the Southern US and drought in the Pacific Northwest.
El Niño can increase risks of extreme weather like heavy rainfall, droughts, crop damage, and fires in affected areas.
Despite El Niño, extreme ocean warmth may still contribute to an active Atlantic hurricane season.
El Niño combined with climate change contributed to recent record high global temperatures.