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Terra Nova Report Advocates Sustained Immigration to Support France’s Social Model

The think tank recommends admitting 250,000 to 310,000 immigrant workers annually through 2050 to address labor shortages and demographic challenges.

Ders travailleurs étrangers passent une saison dans les vignes pour les vendanges alors que le secteur viticole est en tension.
Le cercle de réflexion Terra Nova estime que la France aura besoin d'accueillir entre 250 000 et 310 000 travailleurs étrangers par an, et ce jusqu'en 2040-2050, pour pérenniser son « modèle social ».
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Overview

  • Terra Nova's report highlights the critical need for 250,000–310,000 immigrant workers annually to maintain France’s active-to-inactive ratio and preserve its social welfare system.
  • France’s aging population and declining birth rate are eroding the workforce, threatening economic stability and the sustainability of the social model.
  • Immigrants play a key role in sectors facing acute labor shortages, including home care, construction, cleaning, and healthcare, where one in five doctors is foreign-trained.
  • The report emphasizes maintaining current immigration levels while focusing on economic needs, rather than unrestricted border policies, to ensure targeted workforce support.
  • Public perception remains a challenge, with 73% of French citizens overestimating immigration levels, though many favor selective, needs-based immigration policies.