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Toyota Cuts Profit Forecast by 21% as U.S. Tariffs and Stronger Yen Bite

The automaker projects operating income of 3.8 trillion yen for fiscal 2025–26, down from 4.8 trillion yen last year, while considering expanded U.S. production to offset trade challenges.

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Overview

  • Toyota expects a 21% decline in operating income for fiscal 2025–26, driven by $1.6 billion in U.S. tariff costs and 745 billion yen in currency-related losses.
  • The company has revised its profit forecast to 3.8 trillion yen, significantly below analyst expectations of 4.7 trillion yen.
  • Short-term U.S. sales rose 7.7% in March as consumers rushed to buy vehicles ahead of tariff-driven price increases.
  • Toyota is exploring medium- to long-term expansion of local production and development in the U.S. to mitigate trade risks.
  • Despite challenges, the automaker predicts global sales will rise slightly to 11.2 million units this fiscal year, bolstered by strong demand for electrified vehicles.