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UK Economy Grows in November, But Recession Risk Remains

Despite a 0.3% growth in November, high interest rates, cost-of-living squeeze, and December's strike action could still push the UK into a technical recession.

  • The UK economy grew by 0.3% in November, recovering from a 0.3% decline in October, largely due to retail as Christmas shopping got underway with Black Friday sales.
  • Despite the growth, the UK could still potentially slide into a technical recession if growth contracted in October-December for the second quarter running.
  • Economists warn that high interest rates and the cost-of-living squeeze could have constrained output in December, making the economy's situation precarious.
  • Strike action in December is also expected to have negatively impacted GDP at the end of 2023.
  • Chancellor Jeremy Hunt stated that while the growth in November is welcome, it will be slower as efforts to bring inflation back to its 2% target continue.
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