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UK Retailers Warn of Rising Prices as Costs Surge

Higher employment costs, packaging levies, and food inflation are set to drive up prices, with food costs expected to rise over 4% by mid-year.

  • Shop prices in February saw their largest monthly increase in a year, rising by 0.4% compared to January, according to the British Retail Consortium (BRC).
  • Food inflation climbed to 2.1% year-on-year in February, driven by higher costs for staples like butter, cheese, eggs, and bread, with further increases projected.
  • Retailers face a £7 billion rise in annual costs from April due to minimum wage increases, packaging levies, and payroll tax hikes outlined in the autumn budget.
  • Non-food prices fell 2.1% year-on-year despite a 0.5% monthly increase in February, as retailers offered discounts to counter weak consumer demand.
  • The Bank of England forecasts headline inflation to reach 3.7% by the third quarter, with rising energy prices and government-controlled costs contributing to the pressure.
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