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US-China Tariff Pause Fuels Shipping Surge, Strains Supply Chains

A 90-day tariff reprieve has driven a 275% spike in weekly container bookings and soaring freight rates, as ports and carriers scramble to manage capacity challenges.

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Overview

  • The US-China 90-day tariff suspension, effective May 12, has triggered a sharp increase in trade, with container bookings from China to the US surging by 275% in a week.
  • Freight rates have spiked, with spot rates from Shanghai to Los Angeles rising 16% and key indices like the West Coast index jumping 31.7%.
  • West Coast ports, including Los Angeles and Long Beach, are preparing for capacity constraints but anticipate a muted peak season due to ongoing uncertainty.
  • Carriers such as ZIM are reinstating previously suspended services, including the ZX2 line, to accommodate the surge in trans-Pacific demand.
  • Experts warn that the surge could lead to supply chain disruptions, higher consumer costs, and reduced inventory levels as businesses race to avoid potential tariff re-escalations in July.