US Election: China's Strategic Calculations in a Crucial Vote

China remains cautious about the US election outcome, anticipating continued tensions regardless of the winner.

Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are viewed in China as unlikely to significantly improve US-China relations, which are expected to remain tense.
Under Harris, a continuation of Biden's strategy is anticipated, focusing on technology investment and alliances, while imposing restrictions on China.
Trump's potential return to the presidency could escalate economic tensions, with the possibility of imposing massive tariffs on Chinese goods.
China's response to Trump's policies may include aggressive economic measures, such as penalizing US companies and devaluing the yuan.
The Chinese government is keenly watching the election but remains focused on its long-term goal of technological self-reliance and strengthening global south alliances.