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U.S. Stocks Surge as Fed Rate Cuts and Inflation Data Loom

Markets rally on strong jobs report and rate cut optimism, but upcoming inflation data could influence Federal Reserve decisions.

  • The S&P 500 has gained over 27% year-to-date, with a third consecutive weekly rise driven by optimism about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts.
  • November's jobs report exceeded expectations with 227,000 new jobs added, though the unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.2%.
  • Upcoming consumer price index (CPI) data, expected to show a 2.7% annual increase, could impact the Fed's rate decision at its December 17-18 meeting.
  • Investors anticipate a 90% likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December, though higher-than-expected inflation could temper future rate cut expectations.
  • Concerns grow over high stock valuations and overly bullish market sentiment, with the S&P 500 trading at its highest price-to-earnings ratio in over three years.
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